Market Update

Black Friday 2?

Taking a look at the S/P and Dow, we are at, and coming into a major support level. The Dow, closing at the lowest level since 1997, has the potential to break down into “open space” meaning the next support level is not clear. The S/P is not far behind, just off it’s November 08 lows which coincide with the lows of 2002/03. If we see a break of the S/P 740 or the Dow 7450 we could be in…

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Gaps, the EUR/USD, and DOW Correlation

With recent US and global economic new heavily influencing the market, we have seen morning gaps off the open. One indication on which way these gaps will play out is to look at the EUR/USD, as it trades 24-hrs a day.We recently saw a triangle breakdown in the EUR/USD. Measuring the high/low points of the EUR/USD triangle we get a target of 1.22. The Dow is sitting right at its support level of 7500 and any break lower may induce…

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VIX Triangle

Taking a look at the Volatility Index (VIX) daily chart, Justin noticed we are forming a symmetrical triangle as well as coming into the 200-MA. Watch for a contraction of the VIX into the 30’s to signal a move higher, but if the VIX breaks to the upside, we should see stocks go lower.

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Diverging Indices = Higher?

As we take a look at the top line figures (S/P, DOW, NASDAQ) we see an interesting divergence. Let’s examine the price action and the Stochastic Indicator. All charts are daily candlesticks. The S/P is forming symmetrical triangle with a Stochastic turning higher. Volume has decreased over the past week and the apex of the triangle is tightening.The Dow is creating a descending triangle, in the context of a sideways market, and its Stochastic is forming a triangle with a…

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