I leave you this week with a monthly chart of the VIX. Notice how we broke out of the wedge and now have pullback to retest it. Once the new year resumes we will be looking for a bounce off this level which would induce selling in the broader market. If we can break lower on the VIX then the markets should continue higher. Stay tuned for new things to come in 2012! Grab the RSS Feed to have the…
We saw heavy selling these passed two weeks on increasing volume. Look to sell into any rally if we see a decline in volume. A true rally will coincide with a massive drop in the VIX. Above we have the four top line figures, SPY, DIA, QQQ, and IWM (from left to right). Notice the increasing volume noted by the darker green and the incredibly large percent down days in the markets.
The ES, or the E-mini S&P Futures hit a pivotal level on 4/18 which has sent the market screaming higher. As we continue to drive higher and break prior highs, more and more stops will be hit which in turn sends the market high. We need sellers at highs to make new highs and buyers and lows to make new lows. This is because the stops that the sellers place at highs (just about the highs) will be fuel for…
The inverted head and shoulders that we talked about last week is fulfilling its end of the bargain, did you get long? Here is a look at the top line figures over the past few years. Notice that the NASDAQ and Russell are leading the way higher. This makes sense as a technology and small caps are where the most entrepreneurship and growth comes from as we work our way out of a recession. The VIX is about to rip,…
Needless to day, I am a bit skeptical to this last break of highs on the S&P500 why might you ask? Because of the VIX. The VIX is a measure of volatility in the markets, when volatility is high the VIX rises, when volatility is low, the VIX falls. As the old saying goes, “when the VIX is low, lookout below.” This is because we see the biggest crashes in the context of a bull market (low VIX) and the…
Week 3 of 2011 kicks off remembering Martin Luther King Jr. We have a shortened week this week and options expiry on Friday along with some big earnings from AAPL on 1/18 and GOOG on 1/20. For those traders who play gaps, options expiry Friday is a day to skip. Trader’s who usually trade the first 30-mins, be extremely cautious on option’s X as market orders are higher than usual during this time. We’re expecting a fairly volatile week for intraday trading.…